Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 14.866023 17.042743 19.444586 22.294290 25.587015 29.276711 33.731229
2025-10-26 11.561221 14.290085 17.546088 21.727910 26.971995 33.351041 41.730591
2025-11-02 9.710677 12.659076 16.377755 21.432343 28.155556 36.835090 48.961680
2025-11-09 8.416792 11.458484 15.472615 21.188714 29.170592 39.996196 55.919906
2025-11-16 7.409557 10.470278 14.670267 20.896886 29.966997 42.810054 62.574250
2025-11-23 6.564080 9.586339 13.879452 20.476401 30.455603 45.142307 68.682329
2025-11-30 6.224259 9.377010 14.004187 21.360326 32.894916 50.508545 79.863574
2025-12-07 5.793981 8.978436 13.792971 21.687996 34.481221 54.689660 89.603151
2025-12-14 5.338296 8.489293 13.385095 21.646367 35.446478 57.941466 98.130440
2025-12-21 4.908661 7.996402 12.917521 21.446525 36.105821 60.717750 106.101514
2025-12-28 4.723334 7.880021 13.039373 22.221910 38.458907 66.535882 119.976065
2026-01-04 4.513719 7.701081 13.035734 22.771588 40.456345 71.906075 133.601841
2026-01-11 4.352282 7.594642 13.152375 23.555161 42.971898 78.496100 150.357742
2026-01-18 3.982836 7.090811 12.532875 22.952379 42.880294 80.282792 158.069508
2026-01-25 3.695694 6.709020 12.095734 22.639301 43.290415 83.031484 167.960988
2026-02-01 3.444697 6.371596 11.709135 22.381212 43.770932 85.942993 178.482761
2026-02-08 3.210692 6.046143 11.316585 22.072076 44.111878 88.592916 188.727454
2026-02-15 2.981171 5.710425 10.876524 21.626675 44.127113 90.565909 197.707852
2026-02-22 2.934298 5.725105 11.112610 22.563007 47.086953 98.950940 221.862648
2026-03-01 2.822801 5.602240 11.066454 22.910135 48.825439 104.892069 241.138963
2026-03-08 2.677941 5.400399 10.844947 22.866033 49.705947 109.033486 256.671617
2026-03-15 2.527384 5.175206 10.557815 22.654324 50.191024 112.328831 270.543524
2026-03-22 2.485713 5.174028 10.735893 23.475788 53.089873 121.424468 299.792568